Question Description
Case 3B: Tremblant Capital Group
HBS Case 9-210-071. Brett Barakett, CEO and founder of Tremblant Capital Group, a New York-based hedge fund, must decide what to do with his fund’s position in Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, which has dropped in value by more than 40 percent in recent months. Tremblant is a hedge fund that specializes in forecasting consumer behavioral change, and capitalizes on the disconnect between stock prices and consumer behavior. In the case of Green Mountain Coffee, many other sophisticated investors have taken short positions in the stock, leading Barakett to question whether his fund had the right trade thesis.
Case Questions
You should provide a short report (not more than 3 pages) developed around the following questions (you must provide a response to each of the questions):
1. What types of biases prevent analysts from updating their forecasts quickly?
2. Do you think investors can exploit these analysts’ biases even now? Why or why not?
3. Why do analysts behave in a less sophisticated manner than institutional investors?
4. Are there other market participants who exhibit similar behavior? Are there any pricing implications of their slower reaction?
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